National Security

Cuba Tiptoes Out of Venezuela

The New York Times, the Associated Press, and Fox News reported something curious yesterday out of Cuba. The media outlets told of Cuban doctors who were instructed by the Venezuelan government last year not to treat Venezuelan patients unless the patients promised to vote for socialist tyrant Nicolás Maduro and his party. Not the best PR for Caracas.

Now, not so strange that Maduro is doing this. Standard play for a faltering socialist dictatorship. What is odd is that the Cubans said it. Which means the government in Havana allowed them to say it.

Get it?

While Havana maintains the company line, the docs seem free to comment outside of the confines of a prison camp. And to tell the Times and AP, no less. One physician even defected to Ecuador and the regime still looked the other way at the story.

Cuba is undergoing a generational change in leadership. Not that the Communist Party will give up control at all. But she can do the math, see that fifty nations have recognized Juan Guaidó, and know full well (probably with very inside information) how completely unsavable Maduro is. By the way, some of those nations that have recognized Guaidó? Their citizens are big-time Cuban tourism customers.

So you will see Cuba start to hedge her bets. A missed delivery of material here, silence on an issue there. If push comes to shove in a military showdown and Maduro falls, expect a Cuban advisor evacuation and a sham outraged hyperbolic communiqué from Havana. There will be way more sincere regret and outrage from Maduro’s more loyal fan base in the U.S. Democratic Party.

This isn’t much of a surprise, though. What was the Count Ciano line? Oh yeah, “Victory has a hundred fathers and defeat is an orphan.”

My guess is that Maduro is gradually being orphaned by Cuba and his few dwindling other international pals are not far off to follow. Nobody wants to be last off a sinking ship.

The opinions expressed here by contributors are their own and are not the view of OpsLens which seeks to provide a platform for experience-driven commentary on today's trending headlines in the U.S. and around the world. Have a different opinion or something more to add on this topic? Contact us for guidelines on submitting your own experience-driven commentary.
David Kamioner

David Kamioner is a veteran of US Army Intelligence, serving with the Pershing Nuclear Brigade and the First Infantry Division. Subsequent to that he worked as a political consultant for over fifteen years and ran a homeless shelter for veterans in Philadelphia for four years. He is a public relations consultant in Washington, DC and lives in Annapolis, MD.

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