National Security

Cuba Tiptoes Out of Venezuela

The New York Times, the Associated Press, and Fox News reported something curious yesterday out of Cuba. The media outlets told of Cuban doctors who were instructed by the Venezuelan government last year not to treat Venezuelan patients unless the patients promised to vote for socialist tyrant Nicolás Maduro and his party. Not the best PR for Caracas.

Now, not so strange that Maduro is doing this. Standard play for a faltering socialist dictatorship. What is odd is that the Cubans said it. Which means the government in Havana allowed them to say it.

Get it?

While Havana maintains the company line, the docs seem free to comment outside of the confines of a prison camp. And to tell the Times and AP, no less. One physician even defected to Ecuador and the regime still looked the other way at the story.

Cuba is undergoing a generational change in leadership. Not that the Communist Party will give up control at all. But she can do the math, see that fifty nations have recognized Juan Guaidó, and know full well (probably with very inside information) how completely unsavable Maduro is. By the way, some of those nations that have recognized Guaidó? Their citizens are big-time Cuban tourism customers.

So you will see Cuba start to hedge her bets. A missed delivery of material here, silence on an issue there. If push comes to shove in a military showdown and Maduro falls, expect a Cuban advisor evacuation and a sham outraged hyperbolic communiqué from Havana. There will be way more sincere regret and outrage from Maduro’s more loyal fan base in the U.S. Democratic Party.

This isn’t much of a surprise, though. What was the Count Ciano line? Oh yeah, “Victory has a hundred fathers and defeat is an orphan.”

My guess is that Maduro is gradually being orphaned by Cuba and his few dwindling other international pals are not far off to follow. Nobody wants to be last off a sinking ship.

The opinions expressed here by contributors are their own and are not the view of OpsLens which seeks to provide a platform for experience-driven commentary on today's trending headlines in the U.S. and around the world. Have a different opinion or something more to add on this topic? Contact us for guidelines on submitting your own experience-driven commentary.
David Kamioner

A veteran of service with US Army Intelligence, the Pershing Nuclear Brigade, and the First Infantry Division, Kamioner is a graduate of the University of Maryland’s European Division and spent over twenty years as a political consultant, college instructor, non-profit director, and corporate PR director. He hails from New York City and grew up in South Florida. He served with the American Red Cross as part of the relief effort for Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005 and Hurricane Sandy in 2012. For several years he ran homeless shelters, most recently homeless shelters for US military veterans. He currently is a Senior Contributor for OpsLens.com, a writer for American Greatness, and has been published in LifeZette. He is the author of the novel "Prisoner of the Chattering Class" and lives in Annapolis, Maryland.

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